NCAA Bracket Reveal Show

NCAA Team Scores Based On Tournament Seeds

NCAA Team Scores Based On Tournament Seeds

How would the 2022 NCAA Championship play out if every weight class went according to the seeds? We crunch the numbers to find out!

Mar 10, 2022 by Andrew Spey
null

Unlock this video, live events, and more with a subscription!

Get Started

Already a subscriber? Log In

The NCAA Championship brackets are out! And thanks to the tournament committee's decision to assign seeds to all 33 entrants per weight class, we can now project how the team race will play out in Detroit!

Unlock this article, live events, and more with a subscription!

Get Started

Already a subscriber? Log In

The NCAA Championship brackets are out! And thanks to the tournament committee's decision to assign seeds to all 33 entrants per weight class, we can now project how the team race will play out in Detroit!

We calculated the team score from the NCAA seeds in the same manner as we do for our Team Tournament Rankings; by assigning advancement and placement points as if each wrestler finished the tournament in the same position as their seed or ranking. Potential bonus points are not factored in.

The results are below. 

PLACESCHOOLPOINTS
1Penn State113
2Michigan96.5
3Iowa81.5
4Arizona State67.5
5North Carolina State60.5
6Cornell42
7Ohio State36.5
8Wisconsin36
9Oklahoma State35.5
10Virginia Tech34.5
11Cal Poly33
12Iowa State31
13Missouri29
14Minnesota28.5
15Princeton24.5
16Nebraska24
17Pittsburgh23.5
18Stanford23
18Northwestern23
20Oregon State21
21Wyoming19
22Rutgers18.5
23Northern Iowa18
24Lehigh16.5
25West Virginia12
26North Dakota State11.5
27South Dakota State11
28App State10.5
29Northern Colorado10
29Illinois10
29Air Force10
32Campbell9
33Michigan State8.5
33Central Michigan8.5
35North Carolina7.5
36Oklahoma7
37Pennsylvania6
37Binghamton6
39Harvard5.5
39Drexel5.5
41Purdue5
42Northern Illinois4.5
43Columbia3.5
44Virginia3
44Duke3
46Navy2.5
47Bucknell2
48Utah Valley1.5
48Rider1.5
48Maryland1.5
48Indiana1.5
52Chattanooga1
52Lock Haven1
52Cleveland State1
52Army1
56Gardner-Webb0.5
56Edinboro0.5
56CSU-Bakersfield0.5
56The Citadel0.5


Not much different from Flo's team rankings. Let's see exactly how different by comparing the two sets of points. 

PLACESCHOOLPOINTSFLO PTSDIFF
1Penn State113115.5-2.5
2Michigan96.5100-3.5
3Iowa81.588-6.5
4Arizona State67.556.511
5North Carolina State60.552.58
6Cornell4242.5-0.5
7Ohio State36.542-5.5
8Wisconsin3636.5-0.5
9Oklahoma State35.52312.5
10Virginia Tech34.537.5-3
11Cal Poly33312
12Iowa State3131.5-0.5
13Missouri2933.5-4.5
14Minnesota28.531-2.5
15Princeton24.526.5-2
16Nebraska2438-14
17Pittsburgh23.5815.5
18Stanford2328-5
18Northwestern2329.5-6.5
20Oregon State2126-5
21Wyoming1919.5-0.5
22Rutgers18.519-0.5
23Northern Iowa1819-1
24Lehigh16.5151.5
25West Virginia123.58.5
26North Dakota State11.512-0.5
27South Dakota State1112.5-1.5
28App State10.564.5
29Northern Colorado10100
29Illinois1010.5-0.5
29Air Force1028
32Campbell927
33Michigan State8.514.5-6
33Central Michigan8.59-0.5
35North Carolina7.517-9.5
36Oklahoma78-1
37Pennsylvania63.52.5
37Binghamton624
39Harvard5.55.50
39Drexel5.50.55
41Purdue514-9
42Northern Illinois4.58.5-4
43Columbia3.521.5
44Virginia32.50.5
44Duke33.5-0.5
46Navy2.520.5
47Bucknell220
48Utah Valley1.52-0.5
48Rider1.50.51
48Maryland1.52.5-1
48Indiana1.510.5
52Chattanooga101
52Lock Haven10.50.5
52Cleveland State101
52Army110
56Gardner-Webb0.500.5
56Edinboro0.500.5
56CSU-Bakersfield0.500.5
56The Citadel0.500.5


Arizona State, North Carolina State, Oklahoma State, and Pittsburgh were seeded a bit higher than we have them ranked. However, it's also worth remembering that getting ranked or seeded between 9 and 12 gets you the same number of points (from advancing to the round of 12), while the difference between a 1 and a 2 seed is four points. So the differences are amplified the further up the rankings/seeds you go. 

Conversely, we ranked Nebraska, North Carolina, and Purdue higher than they were seeded. And naturally, there will be bonus points in Detroit so most teams will likely outperform either set of projected point totals. 

For the most part, though, not a lot of surprises from the team race perspective. Penn State remains the favorite. Michigan battled their way into the team title race thanks to an inspiring performance at the Big Ten Championships. And Iowa is still in the conversation though a lot depends on how healthy they are a week from now. 

The contest for fourth place and the final team trophy is very interesting, with as many as a dozen or so teams all with realistic chances at climbing the podium. All the more reason to tune in next weekend to see what actually happens!